How NewsTrack uses newsfeeds in real-time to generate state-of-the-art analysis and forecasting
NewsTrack is a leading-edge NLP deep learning toolkit that processes unstructured and high-frequency textual information to generate risk related signals at real time
This model can be implemented as an overlay/early warning and monitoring tool element for risk-related events
The model is based on a fully flexible development pipeline such that it can be applied to new use cases with only little effort
The NewsTrack toolkit can be used across a variety of news sources, NLP/transformer models and other languages
NewsTrack can process both structured and unstructured data at the same time and can efficiently triangulate across heterogeneous data sources to maximize information gain
NewsTrack Analytics has a striking impact on efficiency, accuracy, and objectivity, where benefits are realized in real-time
10% loss reduction for the loan book of a leading financial institution
200+bps performance uplift for the investment book of a large insurer as well as a pension fund
+50% of credit events predicted at least 30days ahead, including market-related events such as bond-price drops and CDS spikes
Anticipation of “singular” events based on unstructured e.g. WireCard, Greensill, etc.
Various testimonials from leading clients globally confirming the value add
News feeds are factored into models to predict credit events by Emanuel Eckrich, Phillip Escott, Rainer Glaser and Christoph Zeiner.
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Prediction of rating changes and defaults based on non-qualitative IRB model components
NewsTrack shows significant predictive power when tested against observed defaults and rating
Events, improving predictive power of non-qualitative IRB model components
News articles
News analytics model
Rating event prediction
Early warning system for economic and political risks
Newstrack allows for early warning regarding economic and political risks at sector and geography level
Current and historical risk scores
Newsfeed content, weighted by early warning model
Comprehensive real-time dashboard
COVID-19 impact on credit customers
Newstrack uses state-of-the-art leaning algorithms for superior predictions of credit risk signals, e.g. COVID-19 induced downgrades
Prediction of short-term price fluctuations based on news articles
Newstrack can predict market prices efficiently and support optimal investment decisions
Newsfeed content, weighted by machine learning model
Fundamental values as additional cross-check
Newstrack Price Predictor for price evolution
Robust and effective controls for customer due diligence
NewsTrack offers a data-based approach to effectively ensure KYC / customer due diligence compliance via intelligent triggers and thresholds
Increased accuracy
Streamlined, quicker operations
Continuous optimisation
Lower cost
Improved document management
Affordability estimation in Retail
Newstrack can efficiently triangulate all available information – both structured and unstructured to estimate and monitor client affordability
Historical Behavioural data
Account movements
Payment purpose/ counterpart
Interaction log and loan documentation
Specific information (e.g. external reference data, indices)
We are happy to provide dedicated client references and testimonials – please reach out to us under NewsAnalytics@oliverwyman.com
Retrieve and pre-process news articles by a global news provider
Use state-of-the art transformer models (BERT) to encode texts into a machine readable vectors
Supply the vectors into classic machine learning models
Use model predictions with confirmed performance across a variety of use cases
NewsTrack analytics was built to allow for maximum flexibility – providing a powerful tool for a broad range of applications
Only minor adjustments are necessary to connect model to other news sources and providers, including languages other than English
Code base is fully portable (Python) and was developed / tested using client IT infrastructure
Can be easily enhanced to integrate other transformer models (e.g. XLNet) and languages (e.g. German)
The model was designed to directly learn from large datasets – expert labelling is no longer required
Can be trained for a variety of classification tasks and corresponding machine learning algorithms
Flexibility contains universal and covering various use cases, agnostic of language, platforms, counterparty types, data sources, etc., and clients and users across sectors, for example Financial Services, Automotive, Energy and Commodity, HLS, supervisory authorities.
01. Client types and Sectors
Financial Services, HLS, Automotive, Supervisory authorities, Energy and Commodities
02. Business Use / Use Cases
Credit (event) prediction, COVID-19 impact and vulnera, Early Warning and Monitoring
03. Economic and system environment
Languages, Platforms, Input data, Data sources
If you have any questions or comments regarding NewsAnalytics, please contact us!
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